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Disclaimer: The opinions expressed on the above linked-to websites do not necessarily reflect the opinions of Isebrand.com or Scott Isebrand.

Disclosure: I have given money and resources to
Clark for President, Dean for America, and Kucinich for President.

Contact: info@isebrand.com

Nancy Pelosi bombs?
by IseFire - Tue 01/20/04; 10:21 pm EST

I just heard Pelosi's response to Bush's SotU address. She did a dreadful job with the exception of an okay line or two, not well delivered. Ouch. Come on, Dems, we need to hold our uninspiring and uninspired leaders accountable. E-mail the DNC and call for a better leader in the House.

Girding for battle
by IseFire - Tue 01/20/04; 10:01 pm EST

"Girding for Battle: How Democrats Can Win in 2004," an article by Al From and Bruce Reed in July's Blueprint Magazine, is worth a re-read in the wake of Bush's State of the Disunion address, but also worth a re-read in light of the success last night in Iowa of the more DLC-esque campaigns of Edwards and Kerry. Dean is following a different model (at least in the Primary phase), and he did horribly in Iowa. Granted, he's still the candidate with the largest national organization, the most money, and the most time on the ground shaking hands, especially in NH. His argument that he's the man to beat Bush thru a combo of bringing new blood into the Party while also firing up the base has yet to be proven unviable. But... Iowa was not a step in the right direction for The Dean Plan, to be sure.

Beware: Conculsions drawn now could look like ridiculous doodles later.
by IseFire - Mon 01/19/04; 10:51 pm EST

Wow--a lot to think about post-Iowa. (And what a great victory speech by Kerry!)

Could this be: More evidence of the continued weakening of unions in America,
because Dean and Gephardt got the lion's share of the union endorsements and both placed a miserable 3rd & 4th in Iowa, perhaps because too many unions have become less about workers' rights and more about exploitation of the members by leaders desperate to hold onto their offices?

(Answer: Not necessarily; Iowa was just one--and the earliest--contest for these Democratic candidates. Don't be too quick to draw sweeping conclusions.)

Could this be: Evidence that rhetoric--in the classical (& good) sense--isn't dead &/OR that the reality of America as an increasingly 3rd-world-like economically lopsided nation is getting though to voters, because John Edwards placed a strong 2nd in Iowa, but only after becoming, in the last month, a populist with a fantastic stump speech that is positive insofar as it stresses unifying America, but populist insofar as it also speaks both of "lifting up" the growing % of Americans in poverty and curtailing the power of the shrinking mega-elite cabal, the 1%, who own nearly 50% of all of America's wealth?

(Answer: [see above].)

Could this be:
Evidence that the Internet, Dean's special weapon, is better for fundraising than for organizing, or that the enthusiasm of young people sitting behind computers doesn't translate into real efforts and real votes?

(Answer: [see above].)

Could this be:
the beginning of the end of Howard Dean, despite the fact that his chances in New Hampshire are much better, since he's from the region and created a strong organization there many months ago?
(Answer: [see above].)

Could this be: the end of the ending of Al Gore? Fat lot of good his endorsement seemed to do for Dean.

(Answer: [see above].)

Could this be: the beginning of the end of Wesley Clark, since Kerry is surging and is also a vet (though arguably cut from the failed Dukakis mold--not a Southerner, someone arguably lacking the "common touch"), despite the fact the Clark--like Kerry--was prematurely written off once before as a viable candidate?

(Answer: [see above].)

Get it? :)

Cheney: Terrorism requires extraordinary responses. (Martial law?)
by IseFire - Sun 01/18/04; 10:51 pm EST

James Sterngold in the San Francisco Chronicle: when VP Cheney spoke this week to the Los Angeles World Affairs Council, he stressed "the increasing prospects of a major new terrorist attack and the extraordinary responses that are required." He didn't specify what extraordinary responses were in mind on the domestic front, but he "said Bush was establishing, as Truman had, a new structure for a new long-term war and spreading the military into new areas of the globe."


Cheney duck hunted w/Scalia last week
by IseFire - Sat 01/17/04; 10:21 am EST

The Bush/Cheney junta mocks the Constitutional principle of separation of the three branches of government...and has learned very few give a shit anyway. From the Cheney-Scalia duck hunt article: "Dick Cheney and Supreme Court Justice Antonin Scalia spent part of last week duck hunting...just three weeks after the Supreme Court agreed to take up an appeal by the vice president in lawsuits over his handling of the administration's energy task force."

Eye-oh-way
by IseFire - Sat 01/17/04; 10:21 am EST
Here's the site to use for all things Iowa caucus: www.caucus2004.org. Here's the agenda all caucuses follow Monday night. (Links to a PDF file.)

Here's Gov. Dean and me in Newton, Iowa (where my folks live) on December 27, '03

It's hard to poll a powwow
by IseFire - Fri 01/16/04; 8:21 pm EST

Kerry's lead in a new Iowa poll is amazing. But, polls aren't always as telling when it comes to the Iowa caucuses, because in a caucus one doesn't simply pull a switch in a voting booth, but one has to shows up, sit in a powwow and vote there with a relatively small--sometimes tiny--group of other party members. Statewide, it's not just a night of voting, it's a night of a confederacy of microscopic party conventions. (In fact, platform planks for the county to take to the state convention are discussed and voted on, too.)

So, while nothing is likely to change a voter's mind while walking to the voting booth in a primary in another state, at an Iowa caucus a speech made by your neighbor on behalf of a particular candidate could very well give you 2nd thoughts at the 11th hr.

Despite what the poll says, as of today the caucus is still Dean's to lose, I think, because he has the most dedicated and stalwart supporters. And--to be blunt--his supporters are generally younger and more likely to brave the cold and actually go to their local caucus and vote.

Granted, a foot-in-mouth moment, illness (do these candidates EVER catch a cold?!), or something else could always further affect Dean's chances at the last minute.

All in all, whoever wins will have worked hard for it. It's been an incredible race there back home in Iowa.

Phantom estate
by IseFire - Thurs 01/15/04; 7:51 pm EST

"The press--the so-called "Fourth Estate"--is nearly dead," I said to my friend Bob on the phone today. This article says it all--and far better than I could. It's probably the first true "must read" I've linked to since starting this blog.

No, Howard, no
by IseFire - Thurs 01/15/04; 7:31 am EST

Howard Dean's gone negative against Clark, breaking the rule Gore reminded all to follow the day he endorsed Howard. Dean called Clark a closet Republican. Clark's never been a registered Republican--ever--and his policy proposals are clearly Democratic, clearly more liberal than, say, Lieberman's. Clark more than any other candidate sounds like Clinton on the stump.

The only thing more distressing to me is that the race in Iowa has tightened into a 3-way tie. That will suggest to too many people--many in the media and politics included--that all the negative attacks vs. Dean worked. Did they? Couldn't Kerry's rise be due to other factors? Like his campaign simply getting its act together?

Opening the window to truth
by IseFire - Wed 01/14/04; 7:30 pm EST

The Bush Administration is predisposed towards lying. From Bush's early lie about his drinking-related car accident to the Bush/Rove cabal's more recent lie about weapons of mass destruction in Iraq, the President lives inside untruths that the media dutifully echoes--being too lazy, weak, and prissy to challenge any of his statements.

Now Bush is mad as hell at former Treasury Sec. Paul O'Neill, who in a new book says Bush and cabinet are like "a blind man in a roomful of deaf people." Of course, the administration is responding to O'Neill by targeting him with an investigation (same GOP strategy used on the Clinton's endlessly). But did you notice: No one, not even Bush, is saying that O'Neill's lying? The Bush/Rove cabal is angry about O'Neill saying what he did, but they don't seem keen to dispute what he said! Hooray for irony and unexpected truth-telling from Republicans!

With all this sudden truth-telling, Sen. Kennedy is getting into the act, too, accusing Bush of having unnecessarily waged war. (No shit, Teddy.
)

I would like to advance the theory that this truth-telling was destined to become a trend after Gen. Anthony Zinni (Ret.), back in September, raised the specter of the Iraq war being--get this--a "brain fart." (His term, not mine!) Truth upon its lofty pedestal
having been so marvelously illuminated, it was bound to be emulated eventually, even if not covered by the press. Tony Zinni, we salute you!

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